Subtropical Storm Alberto officially formed around 10 a.m. just off the Yucatán Peninsula in the northwestern Caribbean Sea, which means the system has picked up a noticeable rotation and kicked up winds topping 39 miles per hour.
As of 2 p.m., Subtropical Storm Alberto which formed Friday morning was almost stationary about 60 miles south of Cozumel, Mexico, and had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Alberto comes ahead of schedule: the six-month hurricane season doesnt begin until June 1.
Weather officials are expecting flooding and rainfall in some locations that may be two to three times the usual expected rainfall for May. Flooding in those areas is expected. The threat continues to be for periods of heavy rain.
Subtropical Storm Alberto forms in the Atlantic
"Alberto is now struggling to survive strong wind shear and very dry air in the mid and upper levels now disrupting the developing convection", he explained.
A visible satellite image of the cluster of thunderstorms forecasters are watching for signs of tropical storm development.
Finally, the rainfall forecast from now until early next week from the National Weather Service shows the extensive area with the potential for heavy rain covering all of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast, including South Florida. As the storm comes north, the strongest winds will be on the right side of the center (eye) of the storm and that's likely to move in around Mobile to Pensacola. The coastal Carolinas and southern Florida are expected to have more rain. Other parts of the South would likely be affected as well.
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Torrential rain, flooding and thunderstorms are likely across the Caribbean, the Gulf states and southern U.S. states even if a tropical storm does not materialise.
Rainfall by the end of the weekend is expected to be between 2 and 4 inches, but areas close to the Gulf Coast could see as much as 6 or 7 inches depending on how Alberto develops and tracks.
The storm will also stir up seas, and a high surf advisory will be in effect from Saturday afternoon until Tuesday evening.
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Just past year, we had a named storm - Tropical Storm Arlene - east of Bermuda in April.
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